Making a national energy plan and environmental policies for China and implementing them should be under the jurisdiction of the Chinese government. It is true, however, that there are a lot of elemental technologies relating to the CCT in the international community. Those technologies are now at their different stages of development and commercialization. On the other hand, it is also true that frameworks for multilateral environmental assistance or bilateral diplomatic cooperation such as GEF have recently become available. Therefore, it is advisable to study and evaluate comprehensively various combinations of technological and financial options, if a coal-consuming country like China intends to adopt CCTs widely in its domestic commercial facilities. To our understanding, China intends to continue various forms of coal utilization on a large scale in the future, and surveys options for the introduction of CCTs. Therefore, studies of CCTs in China from various perspectives should be beneficial for all those interested in energy and environmental issues in Northeast Asia. ESENA is a one-year project, so it should be noted that the conclusions mentioned below are tentative.
a-1 Sustainable dissemination
Many foreign environmental technologies
are born in experiemental or demonstration plants at local sites. Therefore,
we conclude that CCTs to be introduced to China must "disseminate successively."
Big gaps in the basic technology on which the transferred technology is
based is not desirable if the receiving country to develop further the
transferred technology stepwise.
a-2 Flexibility in the combination
of element technologies
Assuming that there is geographical
diversity in a coal-using country and considering that CCTs are used in
a plant always in a combination of plural technologies, a combination of
flexibility and operational certainty have to be ensured in the CCT selected
by a coal-using country, Here, flexibility means selections among cost-effective
combinations of element technologies according to the fuel, the site surroundings,
the local circumstances, and the cost due to damaging the environment in
the coal-using country.
a-3 Sufficiency for both global-level
and national-level environmental requirements
The developments of international
financial assistance systems have formed two kinds of frameworks: one for
environmental goals at the global level (reduction of global warming gases,
etc.) and another for those at the national or regional level (reduction
of SO2, etc.). The achievement of national and regional goals is often
more urgent than solving global environmental problems. In order for the
technology transfer of a CCT to be effective, it has to cover both global
and national goals.
(b) Technologies on which the Japanese Study Group Focused
The combination of a supercritical unit and a new type desulfurization unit (hereafter referred to as SC + FGD, i.e., supercritical + flue gas desulfurization).
(c) Pertinent New Financial Assistance
c-1 GEF/OP#5, OP#7
c-2 the combination of CMD and bilateral
assistance should be considered in the future
In Japan the first supercritical
plant was introduced in 1967, and since then, the pressure of 240 atmospheric
pressure and the temperature of 538C /566C were the standards for newly
constructed plants for about 25 years. After that, the design temperature
has been raised gradually as part of CO2 reduction policy measures. A plant
completed last year adopted 600 C and its net heat efficiency reached
41-42%.
The Chinese government has taken
the policy of giving priority to domestic products for the purpose of improvement
in domestic industry. This policy may have an effect on the decision of
power plant specifications. For example, a subcritical unit that can be
manufactured domestically may be judged more desirable from this policy
than a supercritical unit which has to be imported, even though obviously
a supercritical unit is advantageous economically and environmentally.
It is expected that considerable numbers of 600 MW coal-fired power plants
will be constructed in China in the next 10 to 20 years, and whether supercritical
or subcritical units will be constructed will make a great difference in
CO2 emission. On the other hand, it is very difficult for other technologies,
such as IGCC and PFBC to spread widely in commercial terms within this
time span.
Actually, one example of OP#5 is a project for the improvement of industrial boiler efficiency. In this project, GEF has borne the expense required for a Chinese manufacturer of industrial boilers to acquire the license for a high efficiency boiler technology from a foreign manufacturer. To recover the initial investment in an FGD, not only the reduction of the running cost but also the increase in the O&M cost has to be taken care of. Thus the innovative combination of FGD with a supercritical unit having the effect of reducing CO2 will become particularly useful, considering that supercritical units are in arms reach of domestic production by Chinese manufacturers if technological transfer is promoted by appropriate international financing.
The SC unit is much more cost-effective
for the reduction of CO2, taking into account the competitive price of
facility construction. In fact, SC + FGD is the only option from the perspective
of the Japan Study Group that fulfills the three criteria. Specifically,
ease of domestic production in China enables continuous dissemination (criteria
a-1); the combination of SC + FGD is both flexible and well proved (a-2);
and SC + FGD covers both global and national levels of environmental goals
in a most cost-effective manner with respect to dollar amount per reduction
of CO2 unit (a-3).
On the user's part, the following have to be learned and mastered: operation technique, quality control of boiler water, which is highly pure and has to be controlled more severely than in subcritical units, quality control of boilers and turbines, which are more vulnerable because of exposure to high temperatures and high pressure. Lack of well-trained personnel and product bases will lead to frequent occurrence of failure, too much time for repairs, no supply of parts, and thus result in the abandonment of high performance technology. Personnel education and technology transfer are indispensable to sustainable development and environmental protection. This has recently begun to be recognized widely.
One of China's most important policies is the growth and development of domestic technologies, so a mechanism helping promote this policy will be easier for China to accept whether it is GEF or CDM. In the past, the loan by the World Bank or ADB was based on international competitive bidding (ICB) as a prerequisite, and so was against the priority-to-domestic technologies policy. Recently, however, the World Bank has accepted an exception of not forcing ICB on technologies for renewable energy and energy efficiency improvement, and discussions about a new mechanism have just been started. A competitive principle among different technologies should be assured when a country chooses from among various CCTs in any circumstances.